Amid President Donald Trump’s repeated targeting of the country with threats and insults, Canadian travel to the U.S. has remained at record low levels. This is despite early analyst predictions that the initial nosedive, occurring when Trump introduced 25% tariffs in February 2025, would reverse.
In the first quarter of 2026, Canadian airlines are still running 10% fewer seats on flights to the U.S. than they had in 2025, while statistics from the Canadian government show that the number of car trips from Canadians crossing the border to return home has hovered at more than a 20% decrease for months.
Canadian airlines Air Canada, WestJet, Flair Airlines, and Air Transat have also responded by significantly reducing their network of flights to smaller U.S. airports.
Air Transat cutting last flights to Florida from Montréal and Québec City by June 2025
A Montréal-based carrier flying Canadians to many popular vacation destinations, Air Transat will now completely cut all U.S. service by phasing out its flights to Florida from Montréal and Québec City by June 2026, Travel Weekly reported.
The airline’s flight between Montréal-Trudeau International Airport (YUL) and Orlando International (MSO) will run for the last time on May 4, and the flight from Québec City (YQB) and Fort Lauderdale (FLL) will end on May 30. The last flight between Montréal and Fort Lauderdale will run on June 13.
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“This decision is part of a strategic review of our program aimed at focusing our resources on markets where we are well positioned and that allow us to optimize the deployment of our resources,” spokesperson Marie-Eve Vallières Vallières said in a statement to Canadian outlet Travelweek. “Florida represents a market where our exposure remains very limited and that is more fragile in the current context.”
Air Transat has not yet confirmed whether another two of its seasonal routes to Luis Muñoz Marín International Airport (SJU) in Puerto Rico from Montréal and Toronto will return in December.
Air Transat is phasing out its last three flights to Florida from Québec by spring 2026.
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Our “presence in the U.S. remains very marginal today,” Air Transat says
Air Transat’s main market still comes from resort cities such as Cancun and Punta Cana, but in the last year, it has significantly expanded its network to new destinations in Mexico and the Caribbean. It is also launching new routes to more faraway countries such as Senegal, Albania, and Iceland.
“Air Transat’s presence in the United States remains very marginal today, representing only 1% of our available seat‑kilometer capacity for the summer,” Vallières said further.
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A report based on flight log data by aviation analytics firm OAG Aviation showed that capacity reductions on U.S. flights were at 19% for WestJet, 58% for low-cost carrier Flair Airlines, and 7% for flag carrier Air Canada for the coming spring.
The latter national airline is taking some risks on new flights between Toronto and San Antonio, and from Montreal to Columbus and Cleveland in Ohio, which it will launch in the spring of 2026 for a season lasting until October.
American Airlines has also leaned into hopes for a renewed U.S.-Canada travel boom, developing a codeshare partnership with Toronto-based Porter Airlines that connects it to additional Canadian destinations to which it does not fly directly.
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