More from Musalem: Bond market is signaling a resilient economy/higher expected inflation.

  • Bond markets are signaling a resilient economy and higher expected inflation.
  • Most of the recent move higher in bond yields reflects a higher expected neutral rate.
  • Wanted to remove the Fed’s “easing bias.”
  • Reducing the banking system’s demand for reserves would provide a smoother path toward a smaller Fed balance sheet than shrinking reserve supply.
  • The possibility that we would consider an interest rate increase is greater than zero
  • Fed Chairman wash will be asking profound and deep questions about how Fed operates, and that is refreshing

Overall tone: More hawkish. The comments emphasized resilient growth, rising inflation expectations, and a preference to remove easing bias, all of which lean toward keeping policy restrictive for longer.

This article was written by Greg Michalowski at investinglive.com.