Analysts revamp IBM stock price target after AI-fueled new high

For investors looking beyond popular AI software names like Palantir, International Business Machines Corp.  (IBM)  is quietly becoming a stock to watch.

On June 18, IBM stock closed at a record $283.21. Year-to-date, the stock is up more than 27%.

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The 114-year-old company, once best known for mainframes and hardware, has spent the past few years transforming itself into a modern software and consulting business. It has focused on strategic acquisitions, exited low-growth and high-cost units, and rebalanced its business toward artificial intelligence, hybrid cloud, and enterprise automation.

Today, IBM sells software tools that help businesses build and manage AI systems, including WatsonX, its platform for creating and training AI models.

It also owns Red Hat, the open-source software giant it acquired in 2019, which plays a key role in its hybrid cloud strategy. Many of IBM’s clients are large enterprises and government agencies looking to streamline operations through AI and cloud technology.

IBM stock is up 27.8% year-to-date.

Image source: Bloomberg/Getty Images

First-quarter earnings show resilience despite market uncertainty

IBM stock fell 6.6% on April 24 after its first-quarter earnings report but quickly recovered in the weeks that followed.

IBM reported revenue of $14.5 billion for the first quarter, up 1% from the prior year and slightly above analyst expectations. Adjusted earnings per share came in at $1.60, down 5% year over year.

Related: Analysts unveil bold forecast for Alphabet stock despite ChatGPT threat

The tech giant warned of an “uncertain” operating environment, but reaffirmed its full-year outlook for 5% revenue growth and $13.5 billion in free cash flow, key for both dividends and possible future acquisitions.

“While no one is immune to uncertainty, we enter this environment from a position of relative strength and resiliency,” IBM CEO Arvind Krishna said during the April earnings call. “Our clients run the world’s most essential processes. Our diversity across businesses, geographies, industries, and large enterprise clients position us well to navigate the current climate.”

Analysts raise IBM stock price target, citing ‘top software names’

Bank of America analyst Wamsi Mohan has raised his price target for IBM to $320 from $290, reiterating a buy rating on the shares, according to a research note on June 18.

Despite trading at all-time highs, Mohan believes that IBM “remains interesting due to the transformational initiatives undertaken by management, positioning for growth in Gen AI, Agentic AI (and eventually quantum), and strong FCF driven by internal productivity initiatives.”

Related: Analyst unveils surprising Nvidia stock price target after nearing record high

The analyst continues to view IBM as “a defensive investment” with improving revenue growth. That growth could lead to more cash flow that could be reinvested in more mergers and acquisitions (M&A).

Meanwhile, BofA sees the potential for IBM’s revenues to accelerate.

“In our opinion, the Mainframe has increased in relevance and drives everything from AI, increased software attach and higher quality MIPS on transaction processing, all of which support higher (accelerating) growth in the future,” Mohan wrote.

Wedbush is also bullish on IBM shares, raising its price target from $300 to $325 with an outperform rating.

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IBM remains “one of our top software names to own as the AI Revolution accelerates over the coming years,” Wedbush analyst Daniel Ives wrote in a research report published on June 20. “While the stock has had a great run so far in 2025, we believe IBM is still under owned and in the early stages of a renaissance of growth with AI the key driver.”

The average price target on IBM shares from 14 analysts tracked by TipRanks is $267.54.

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