Fidelity says $1 million won’t save your retirement

For decades, one million dollars has been the golden benchmark for retirement security across the United States. Reaching seven figures feels like crossing a finish line that guarantees you can finally stop working and relax.

However, Fidelity Investments’ 2026 State of Retirement Planning Study reveals that a million dollars is neither a guaranteed safe harbor nor a universal goal for retirees. Respondents in Fidelity’s survey said they expect to need approximately $1.4 million to retire comfortably on their terms. 

Retirees, however, report having closer to $490,000 in savings when they leave the workforce for good.  That gap between expectations and reality should make every working American stop and reconsider what retirement readiness truly looks like. 

The real story here is not about whether a million dollars is too much or too little for your retirement. It’s about why a single number cannot define your financial future and what Fidelity says you should focus on.

Fidelity’s research exposes the flaws in chasing a single retirement number

Kenny Davin, a CFP and vice president at Fidelity’s Fort Lauderdale branch, summarized the core problem in blunt terms. Some people can make a million dollars last an entire retirement, while others burn through three to five million and still run short. 

The difference comes down to spending habits, family obligations, and whether your lifestyle matches your savings, according to Fidelity. Your retirement age, whether you carry a mortgage into your 60s, and what your healthcare costs look like all shape whether a million gets you through. 

“Some people absolutely can make a million dollars last. Others with $3–$5 million still struggle because they spend heavily or have significant obligations, such as supporting family members. It’s all about the specifics.”— Kenny Davin, (CFP, vice president and branch leader in Fort Lauderdale.)

Most Americans plan to retire around age 62, but nearly one in four say they are unsure when they will stop working, Fidelity’s survey found. That uncertainty about timing creates a downstream problem for everything from investment strategy to withdrawal planning. If you do not know when you will retire, you cannot know how long your savings will last.

Five risks that can drain a million-dollar retirement faster than you expect

Fidelity identifies five specific threats that determine whether your retirement savings hold up or collapse under real-world conditions. Each one can independently derail a plan that looks solid on paper, and together they compound the challenge.

1. Longevity risk means your savings may need to last 30 years or more

Living into your 90s is increasingly common, which means a retirement portfolio needs to stretch across three decades or longer. A million dollars divided by 30 years gives you roughly $33,000 annually before investment returns, which is not enough for most households.

2. Inflation has reshaped how retirees think about their purchasing power

More than a third of Americans (37%) now say rising prices are one of the biggest challenges they face when preparing for retirement. Years of elevated inflation have pushed everyday costs higher, meaning your savings buy less each year you are retired, Fidelity’s study found.

3. Healthcare costs alone could consume a massive share of your nest egg

A 65-year-old retiring in 2025 may need $172,500 in after-tax savings just to cover healthcare and medical expenses throughout retirement. That figure does not include long-term care, which can add tens of thousands more depending on your situation, Fidelity’s 2025 Retiree Health Care Cost Estimate reveals.

4. Your withdrawal rate determines whether your portfolio survives or not

Withdrawing 4% from a million-dollar portfolio gives you $40,000 per year, which may or may not be enough depending on other income. If you need more than that, you risk shortening the sustainability of your savings significantly, Davin explained in the Fidelity report.

5. Investment allocation either supports or undermines your long-term security

Retirees who shift too heavily into conservative investments may lose the growth needed to keep pace with inflation and longevity. Fidelity recommends covering essential expenses with guaranteed income sources like Social Security, pensions, or annuities, while keeping invested assets for discretionary spending.

Without the right strategy, these hidden risks can steadily erode even substantial retirement savings.

we.bond.creations/Shutterstock

The 4% rule is a starting point, not a retirement guarantee

For roughly 30 years, millions of Americans have relied on the 4% withdrawal rule as their primary retirement spending strategy. You take 4% of your portfolio in year one, adjust for inflation each year after, and hope the math holds for three decades.

Morningstar’s latest State of Retirement Income report found that 3.9% is the highest safe starting withdrawal rate for new retirees. That assumes a balanced portfolio with 40% stocks and 60% bonds, a 30-year time horizon, and a 90% probability of not running out.

More Personal Finance:

On a $1 million portfolio, a 3.9% withdrawal means you get $39,000 in year one, which is barely above what Social Security pays. To address this risk, Fidelity suggests that individuals planning for extended retirements consider even more conservative withdrawal rates, closer to 3%.

While that approach reduces annual income, it can help preserve portfolio longevity and lower the risk of outliving one’s savings.

Social Security alone will not close your retirement income gap

The average monthly Social Security retirement benefit reached approximately $2,071 in January 2026 after the 2.8% cost-of-living adjustment. That translates to roughly $24,852 per year, which covers less than half of what the average retired household spends, according to the Social Security Administration.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics puts average annual spending among retirees at about $60,000, resulting in a $35,000 annual shortfall. Your retirement savings, pension, or part-time income needs to fill that gap for every single year you are retired.

Higher Medicare Part B premiums in 2026 also eat into that Social Security increase, reducing the net benefit bump for most retirees. The standard Part B premium increased by about $21 per month, which wipes out more than a third of the $56 monthly COLA increase, AARP reports.

Most Americans are nowhere near the savings benchmarks financial experts recommend

The median retirement savings for American households is just $87,000, a fraction of the million-dollar target most people cite. Only about 5% of households with retirement accounts have $1 million or more saved, the Federal Reserve’s Survey of Consumer Finances shows.

Financial experts generally recommend having one times your annual salary saved by age 30, three times by 40, six times by 50, and ten times by 67. Workers aged 55 to 64 have median retirement savings of $185,000, which falls far short of even the most conservative guidelines.

The savings gap by the numbers

The gap between average and median savings reveals how dramatically top earners skew the national numbers. Here are the key figures:

  • Average retirement savings across all families is $333,940, while the median is just $87,000
  • About 54% of American households report having no dedicated retirement savings at all
  • Workers aged 55 to 64 have average savings of $537,560, but a median of only $185,000
  • Fidelity reported 665,000 401(k) millionaires in Q4 2025, mostly long-term consistent savers

These figures come from the Federal Reserve’s 2022 Survey of Consumer Finances and Fidelity’s Q4 2025 retirement analysis. The takeaway is that most Americans need to accelerate their savings rate, not just hope to hit a magic number.

Fidelity’s six-step framework to make your savings last regardless of the total

Fidelity’s research goes beyond diagnosing the problem and lays out specific actions you can take now to strengthen your position. The firm emphasizes that you do not need a perfect number to move forward; you need a framework.

1. Separate your must-haves from your nice-to-haves

Cover essential expenses such as housing, food, utilities, and healthcare with guaranteed income sources whenever possible. Use your investment portfolio for discretionary and flexible spending.

2. Segment your savings into emergency, protection, and growth buckets

Keep emergency savings liquid for unexpected expenses, use insurance and income-protection strategies to safeguard what you have built, and maintain growth-oriented investments to help your money keep pace with inflation over time.

3. Right-size your withdrawal strategy from the start

Begin conservatively and adjust as market conditions and your personal situation evolve over time during your retirement years. The right withdrawal rate depends on your timeline, market conditions, other income sources, and risk tolerance.

4. Plan explicitly for healthcare costs before you retire

Price out Medicare options, estimate out-of-pocket costs, and consider long-term care coverage well ahead of your retirement date. One in five Americans has never even considered healthcare costs in retirement, Fidelity’s research shows.

5. Stress-test your plan with realistic scenarios regularly

Run “what if” projections that include cutting spending, delaying retirement, adding part-time income, or planning for higher-than-expected inflation. Among retirees who worry about running out of money, 69% cut spending and 32% look for additional work, Fidelity found. 

6. Automate your withdrawals and consider professional guidance

Some of the best savers become the most hesitant spenders because they fear drawing down their accounts, Davin observed. Having automated withdrawals and a professional management strategy can help reduce anxiety and keep your plan on track.

Your retirement number is personal, and a plan matters more than a milestone

The biggest mistake you can make is treating retirement planning as a destination rather than a continuous process. A million dollars can absolutely be enough for one household and dangerously insufficient for another household with different spending patterns.

Fidelity’s core message is that planning bridges the gap between your savings and the retirement lifestyle you want to live. A financial plan pulls together how you spend, save, invest, the risks you face, and the timeline you are working with.

Scenario planning gives you the chance to adjust spending, work longer, or invest more strategically before it is too late. “$1 million is just a number,” Davin said in the Fidelity report. “It all comes back to lifestyle. You can technically retire anytime as long as you can pay your bills.” 

Whether your number is $500,000 or $3 million, the path forward starts with understanding where you stand today and building a flexible plan. The tools and resources exist to help you make the most of whatever you have saved right now.

Related: Fidelity reveals 4 ways to protect your retirement income