PayPal stock jumps as two unlikely buyers circle with billions

PayPal Holdings (PYPL) is fielding a joint takeover offer from Stripe and private equity firm Advent International worth more than $53 billion, according to Reuters.

PayPal runs the checkout button behind millions of online stores and owns Venmo, making it one of the few consumer payment brands most Americans recognize by name.

The pairing chasing it is unusual: a payments technology giant teaming with a buyout shop to jointly own, not dismantle, one of the industry’s original fintech names.

PayPal hasn’t responded publicly, and that silence is moving the stock almost as much as the offer itself.

The offer carries real financing behind it

The bid values PayPal at $60.50 per share, a 28% premium over Tuesday’s closing price, according to CNBC.

Stripe and Advent are backing the offer with roughly $50 billion in committed bank financing, CNBC reported. That level of financing signals a fully underwritten approach rather than an opportunistic feeler.

PayPal shares jumped about 16% in premarket trading on July 15. That gain closes only part of the gap to the offer price, which tells investors the market is pricing in real doubt that a deal closes rather than treating the bid as a formality.

The remaining spread between the trading price and $60.50 is effectively the market’s bet on regulatory clearance, board acceptance and financing holding together through negotiations.

Sources cautioned that there is no certainty the approach results in a completed transaction, according to Seeking Alpha. Stripe and Advent are pushing to advance talks over the coming weeks, but PayPal’s board has not indicated whether it intends to engage.

Stripe and Advent International offered $60.50 a share for PayPal, valuing it above $53 billion as PayPal shares jumped in Wednesday trading.

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Deal talks have been building for months

Under the proposal, Stripe and Advent would each hold an equal stake and run PayPal jointly rather break it apart, according to Reuters.

A PayPal spokesperson told Seeking Alpha only that the company is “not commenting at this time,” while Stripe and Advent also declined to comment. In the world of fintech, a coordinated ‘no comment’ usually means a deal is simmering just out of sight.

This isn’t Stripe’s first look at PayPal. Stripe considered a bid as early as February, and the two sides held an earlier round of talks in April before this month’s formal offer.

The repeated approaches suggest Stripe views PayPal’s consumer distribution as strategically necessary, not opportunistic.

Related: PayPal’s latest quarter leaves a bigger question

PayPal’s turnaround has stalled

PayPal’s market capitalization peaked near $360 billion in 2021 and fell as low as roughly $36 billion this year, according to Quartz.

The stock has lost more than 40% of its value over the past 12 months, leaving a once-dominant fintech cheap enough for rivals to consider buying outright.

The company issued disappointing 2026 profit guidance and cut roughly 20% of its workforce, about 4,760 roles, as part of a restructuring meant to save at least $1.5 billion.

PayPal also replaced CEO Alex Chriss this year with former HP chief Enrique Lores, while splitting operations into three units covering checkout, Venmo and payments-and-crypto.

Turnarounds rarely move fast enough to satisfy markets, and the pileup of restructuring steps this year signals a board increasingly open to more dramatic options, including a sale.

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Two different buyers, two different rationales

Stripe, last valued near $159 billion after a February employee tender offer, would gain PayPal’s checkout network and Venmo’s consumer base overnight, according to Quartz.

That would hand Stripe a foothold in consumer-facing payments, a market it has mostly avoided as a backend infrastructure provider competing against wallets like Apple Pay and Google Pay.

Both companies have also been expanding into stablecoin and crypto-linked payment rails, making a combined entity a more direct challenger on that front as well.

Advent brings a different kind of firepower. The firm closed a $26 billion buyout fund and has put more than $7.8 billion into 18 payments and fintech companies since 2008, including its 2024 deal to take Canadian fintech Nuvei private for $6.3 billion. That record suggests Advent would push for the kind of cost discipline PayPal’s own restructuring has only begun.

A completed deal would rank among the largest payments buyouts on record, and it would test a structure other strategics and private equity firms are likely to watch closely: a technology company and a financial sponsor jointly owning a public target instead of one side taking it whole.

That co-ownership model spreads the cost of an expensive deal while pairing operational expertise with financial discipline, a combination boards facing activist pressure may find hard to ignore going forward.

As legacy payments firms get squeezed between Big Tech’s wallets and newer stablecoin infrastructure, PayPal’s fate may become the template for how the next wave of consolidation gets financed, not just who it happens to.

Related: PayPal bites the bullet on Venmo privacy changes